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Mojave

— Conserving climate change refugia for the mojave ecosystem —

 
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Mojave remote workshop.

Photo Credit: Morelli

 

The Conserving Climate Change Refugia for the Mojave Ecosystem workshop was held virtually via Zoom on Wednesday, December 9, 2020, using funding from the Southwest Climate and the Northeast Climate Adaptation Science Centers (SW and NE CASCs). 

The objectives of this workshop were to bring together natural resource managers and researchers to 1) learn about current work in the Mojave ecoregion related to climate adaptation, 2) prioritize focal species/ecosystems for climate change refugia conservation/funding, and 3) identify research gaps, all in service of operationalizing climate change adaptation strategies in the Mojave ecoregion. 

The meeting began with presentations by researchers and resource managers who have been working on key resources in the Mojave ecoregion. The function of these presentations was to provide background on climate change refugia conservation and existing data and projects relevant to climate change adaptation in the Mojave ecoregion.

 
Word cloud based on Mojave workshop priorities

Word cloud based on Mojave workshop priorities.

 

Workshop agenda

Conserving Climate Change Refugia for the Mojave Ecosystem

December 9, 2020

Workshop Objectives:

-Learn about current work in the Mojave ecoregion related to climate adaptation

-Prioritize focal species/ecosystems for climate change refugia conservation/funding

-Identify research gaps


9:00-10:00 PT     Introductions 

                             Background on climate change refugia conservation – Toni Lyn Morelli (USGS)

                             Background on Mojave Conservation – Julia Sittig (Southwest Decision Resources)

                             Choose a breakout group

10:00-11:00 PT  Presentations by researchers and managers on Mojave refugia maps and data:

Springs/Seeps – Larry Stevens (Spring Stewardship Institute)

 
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Case Study, Amargosa River – Michael Clifford (TNC) 

 
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11:20-12:00 PT   (Virtual) Breakout groups – Focal Resource  

  Address the following questions:

  1. What is your specific resource focus? How do you define refugia for it?

  2. How to apply climate change refugia results to ongoing or future management actions?

  3. What data and partnerships are a) available and b) needed?

12:00-12:45 PT   Report out and Next Steps


Prior to the meeting, workshop participants were polled for their opinions about which Mojave ecoregion resources should be conserved using a climate change refugia strategy. Based on participant responses, workshop facilitators arranged several potential discussion groups around proposed priority resources. These results were shared with the workshop group during the meeting, and participants provided feedback to refine the priority resources. The group settled on the following 4 resources for further discussion (riparian systems, desert dry wash woodland, and birds were also proposed as categories but ultimately not pursued for focused discussion): 

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After defining the priority resources, workshop participants signed up for their first or second-choice resource and split into Zoom breakout groups (Appendix 3) to answer the following questions: 

  1. What is your specific resource focus? How do you define refugia for it?

  2. How to apply climate change refugia results to ongoing or future management actions?

  3. What data and partnerships are a) available and b) needed? 

Breakout room groups then reunited to report their major discussion points. To wrap up the day, workshop participants discussed the needs and next steps for climate change refugia conservation.

Workshop participants refined several priority focal resources for which climate change refugia should be conserved, described projects and data that might be used to identify refugia, and brainstormed potential management actions to conserve refugia. 


Follow-Up Survey

The meeting facilitators then sent a follow-up survey to assess whether meeting objectives were met and gauge interest in additional work toward operationalizing climate change refugia conservation in the Mojave, which might involve working groups, additional videoconference meetings, and the development of federal and state grant proposals.

Most participants felt the workshop was very useful, with building collaborations and discussions of current research highlighted as the most valuable aspects.

Identified Research Gaps/Management Opportunities

The following research gaps and management opportunities were identified either through discussions in the workshop or through the follow-up survey:


Overall

  • A centralized location of data on climate refugia for the Mojave

  • Map refugia for important species/ecosystems, strategies for managers to better conserve these areas

  • Validate models

  • Map water availability and trends

  • Baseline data (distribution and threats) on plant communities, springs/wetlands, rare species

  • Population surveys showing extant population and the edges that occur near areas with projected suitable future climates

  • High resolution future climate data, especially with soil moisture variables. 

  • Better resolution to soil data, or a newer compilation of what is available.  

  • Restoration of interior department documents and datasets taken offline during the last four years

  • Better information on invasive species presence and density, particularly of annual grass species including red brome and Schismus sp. as an indicator of fire risk and native plant community degradation.

  • Data is needed to determine what is happening on the ground

  • Engage/connect with leaders of state climate initiatives

  • Continue to bring climate change researchers together with those who have data on species at risk.

  • Creation of a springs working group for the Mojave.


Springs (including pupfish, spring snails)

  • Working group on springs of the Mojave

  • Landscape-scale data combined with ground truthing of springs

  • Baseline data in Mojave

  • Distribution of invasives and native species

  • Link spring data with other data, such as upland associations or topography

  • Incorporate legacy data into modern databases


Desert scrub (including Joshua Tree, Black Brush)

  • Need more information about how land use historically impacted

  • Research needs to be conducted on how to reestablish black brush after fire

  • Need to develop restoration prescriptions for blackbrush (why do they naturally recover in flat bottom borrow pits created in 1957 along US89A north of Page, AZ?)


Desert tortoise

  • Genetics vs. behavioral plasticity in reproductive timing

  • Would tortoises in refugia also be the ones who are successful in reproduction/survival?

  • More important is ratio of native vs. non-native annual forage -- where are species locations currently vs where they might be in the future

    • Tortoises need species diversity for nutritional needs

    • Seedbanks in soils -- what is the quality?

    • Overall forage quantity/primary productivity (winter rainfall a big factor)

    • Some available modeling for this but maybe hasn’t been leveraged yet in tortoise science

    • Invasive Bromus distribution and projection in the future -- maybe places where tortoise & Bromus projections overlap under climate change could be a good indicator

    • Current known tortoise distribution vs. capacity based on rangewide sampling (areas they could occupy but don’t yet)

    • Habitat adjacency (i.e., connectivity) (so that tortoises have capacity to move into nearby quality habitat)

  •  Potential study:

    • Black brush not typically associated with desert tortoise, but on their site (DOE Nevada National Security Site) desert tortoise use black brush quite a bit

    • Southern portion of their site is in DT habitat, north is not; if can get permission from FWS to get transmitters on the tortoise, could be uniquely situated to understand range shifts/climate change impacts on DT


Bighorn sheep

  • Understanding of how each metapopulation will be affected

    • Some populations have some protections, but others are facing anthropogenic disturbances. Climate change exacerbates these existing stressors. One effective strategy would be to eliminate other threats.

    • Some populations are more vulnerable than others in national parks based on higher elevation and vegetation (Clint Epps work)

  • Need NDVI data to look at biomass during spring time for lamb survival/recruitment

  • How green up is being impacted among populations across the region, especially in the Southern Sierra Nevada

  • Currently have an index of vulnerability, but there is need for better data on thresholds

    • What is the threshold for temperature and precipitation for low elevation populations? 

    • What levels of climate change will affect populations?

  • Disease dynamics and climate change

    • How climate change affects outbreaks of pneumonia

  • Identifying areas of concern, maintaining connectivity where roads are in place.

  • Maximize what sheep need to allow for adaptation. 


Summary and next steps

From the working groups, 4 research priorities arose: 

  • Develop a working group on springs of the Mojave

  • Need to develop prescriptions for reestablishing blackbrush after fire

  • DT:

  • Analysis on how each metapopulation of Bighorn sheep will be affected

Most survey participants prioritized the following next steps for climate change refugia conservation in the Mojave Ecoregion:

  1. Use the information currently available to collaboratively identify short-term/immediate management actions for preserving or enhancing climate refugia in the Mojave Desert

  2. Compile information on climate change refugia in the Mojave Desert and summarize/report the state of this information

  3. Create a Springs Working Group for collecting information on and coordinating management of springs in the Mojave Desert

  4. Gather more information on the movement and future viability of plant species such as joshua tree, blackbrush, and/or vegetation that supports wildlife

Final Report

You can download the post-workshop report here:

Conserving Climate Change Refugia for the Mojave Ecosystem


RELEVANT RRC PUBLICATIONS

Parker, S.S., Zdon, A., Christian, W.T. et al. Conservation of Mojave Desert springs and associated biota: status, threats, and policy opportunities. Biodivers Conserv (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-020-02090-7

Palacios, M.M., Curd, E., Edalati, K. et al. The utility of environmental DNA from sediment and water samples for recovery of observed plant and animal species from four Mojave Desert springs. Environmental DNA. 2020;00:1-17. https://doi.org/10.1002/edn3.161